Rate Lock Advisory

Friday, May 29th

Friday’s bond market has opened in positive territory following somewhat favorable economic news. Stocks are reacting to concerns about rising tensions with China, which should help boost bonds also. The Dow is currently down 149 points while the Nasdaq has lost 25 points. The bond market is currently up 7/32 (0.67%), but we will likely see little change in this morning’s mortgage pricing if comparing to Thursday’s early rates.

7/32


Bonds


30 yr - 0.67%

149


Dow


25,251

25


NASDAQ


9,343

Mortgage Rate Trend

Trailing 90 Days - National Average

  • 30 Year Fixed
  • 15 Year Fixed
  • 5/1 ARM

Indexes Affecting Rate Lock

Medium


Positive


Personal Income and Outlays

April's Personal Income and Outlays data kicked off today’s activities at 8:30 AM ET. The Commerce Department announced a 10.5% jump in income and a 13.6% decline in spending. The income reading was considerably higher than expected, but that figure is believed to be skewed by the many lower paid workers that are currently out of work. A large decline in spending does not come as a surprise due to the pandemic and tens of millions of jobs lost during it. However, it is the largest monthly decline on record. Since consumer spending makes up over two-thirds of the U.S. economy and the drop was slightly bigger than forecasts, we can consider the news favorable for mortgage rates.

Medium


Positive


University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Rev)

The University of Michigan’s revised Index of Consumer Sentiment for May was posted at 10:00 AM ET. It came in at 72.3, indicating that surveyed consumers were a little less confident in their own financial situations than previously thought. Since consumer sentiment is a gauge of consumer willingness to spend, we can consider today’s reading slightly favorable but not enough to cause a movement in rates.

Medium


Unknown


Fed Talk

We also have a speaking engagement by Fed Chairman Powell later this morning to watch. He will be participating in a webcast affiliated with Princeton University at 11:00 AM ET. His words likely will not cause much movement in the markets since he has spoken publicly several times recently. That said, market participants will be listening for any surprises regarding monetary policy or the future of the economy.

High


Unknown


ISM Index (Institute for Supply Management)

Next week does not have a large number of economic releases set for release, but most of what is scheduled is highly relevant to the markets. It starts with May’s Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing index late Monday morning and concludes with the almighty monthly Employment report for May early Friday morning. Look for details on all of next week’s activities in Sunday evening’s weekly preview.

Float / Lock Recommendation

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.


Norcal Capital Group, Inc

1369 El Camino Real
Millbrae, CA 94030